Search found 14 matches

by ShaunNegativeTurner
03 Oct 2021 23:15
Forum: General Football
Topic: THE BETTING THREAD
Replies: 7800
Views: 1025612

Re: THE BETTING THREAD

Just get a half decent quant to build an ELO rating system, add a few variables and you can get your basic tissue and all the derived markets come off that. Job done. Hardly rocket science. Building a house is easy, just get a half-decent builder in and then I'll hang up the pictures I am a quant b...
by ShaunNegativeTurner
03 Oct 2021 16:35
Forum: General Football
Topic: THE BETTING THREAD
Replies: 7800
Views: 1025612

Re: THE BETTING THREAD

Just get a half decent quant to build an ELO rating system, add a few variables and you can get your basic tissue and all the derived markets come off that. Job done. Hardly rocket science. Building a house is easy, just get a half-decent builder in and then I'll hang up the pictures I am a quant btw
by ShaunNegativeTurner
03 Oct 2021 16:04
Forum: General Football
Topic: THE BETTING THREAD
Replies: 7800
Views: 1025612

Re: THE BETTING THREAD

Wholeheartedly agree. Where most people go wrong with betting is failing to understand this concept. I can accept having losing bets no problems if they are value because long term you will win. lol...how are you two clowns calculating value, if you can't calculate prices how can you assess value? ...
by ShaunNegativeTurner
02 Oct 2021 22:06
Forum: General Football
Topic: THE BETTING THREAD
Replies: 7800
Views: 1025612

Re: THE BETTING THREAD

Betting is so often about value and IMHO this represents value, win or lose. Wholeheartedly agree. Where most people go wrong with betting is failing to understand this concept. I can accept having losing bets no problems if they are value because long term you will win. lol...how are you two clown...
by ShaunNegativeTurner
29 Sep 2021 21:56
Forum: General Football
Topic: Champions League/Europa League 2021/22
Replies: 648
Views: 54127

Re: Champions League/Europa League 2021/22

Ronnie 8)
by ShaunNegativeTurner
10 Sep 2021 17:55
Forum: General Football
Topic: THE BETTING THREAD
Replies: 7800
Views: 1025612

Re: THE BETTING THREAD

Tottenham (-104) - 2.3 pick rating
Norwich City +1.0 (+107) - 4.3 pick rating
West Ham 0.0 (-119) - 3.7 pick rating
Brentford 0.0 (+104) - 2.8 pick rating
Chelsea -1.5 (-102) - 2.4 pick rating
Liverpool (-127) - 5.1 pick rating
by ShaunNegativeTurner
27 Aug 2021 15:58
Forum: General Football
Topic: THE BETTING THREAD
Replies: 7800
Views: 1025612

Re: THE BETTING THREAD

Man. City......... -1.5, (1.70) - 3.5% West Ham....... -1.0, (2.05) - 4.6% Leicester City... ....., (1.90) - 4.2% Liverpool......... 0.0, (1.85) - 3.9% Tottenham..... -1.0, (1.70) - 3.0% Man United.... ....., (1.85) - 4.1% What do all of these numbers and %s mean? <Team>....<Handicap>, <Odds>, <Wag...
by ShaunNegativeTurner
26 Aug 2021 23:38
Forum: General Football
Topic: THE BETTING THREAD
Replies: 7800
Views: 1025612

Re: THE BETTING THREAD

Man. City......... -1.5, (1.70) - 3.5%
West Ham....... -1.0, (2.05) - 4.6%
Leicester City... ....., (1.90) - 4.2%
Liverpool......... 0.0, (1.85) - 3.9%
Tottenham..... -1.0, (1.70) - 3.0%
Man United.... ....., (1.85) - 4.1%
by ShaunNegativeTurner
18 Aug 2021 22:48
Forum: General Football
Topic: THE BETTING THREAD
Replies: 7800
Views: 1025612

Re: THE BETTING THREAD

Liverpool......... -1.5, (2.10) - 2.9%.........82.9%, 83.4% EDIT Brentford......... 0.0, (2.00) - 3.5%.........34.7%, 37.0% Man United...... 0.0, (1.66) - 4.6%.........60.2%, 62.0% Chelsea FC....... 0.0, (1.83) - 4.1%..........54.8%, 56.6% Tottenham....... 0.0, (1.66) - 4.1%..........42.0%, 44.4% Le...
by ShaunNegativeTurner
15 Aug 2021 23:23
Forum: General Football
Topic: THE BETTING THREAD
Replies: 7800
Views: 1025612

Re: THE BETTING THREAD

Friday Arsenal - 2.4 pick rating Saturday Chelsea -1.5 - 2.6 pick rating Liverpool -1.5 - 2.6 pick rating Aston Villa 0.0 - 2.4 pick rating Burnley FC +0.5 - 2.8 pick rating Sunday West Ham 0.0 - 2.3 pick rating Pick rating = percentage of your bankroll to bet week_one = -1.37 cum_sum = 98.63
by ShaunNegativeTurner
13 Aug 2021 20:09
Forum: General Football
Topic: THE BETTING THREAD
Replies: 7800
Views: 1025612

Re: THE BETTING THREAD

Friday
Arsenal - 2.4 pick rating

Saturday
Chelsea -1.5 - 2.6 pick rating
Liverpool -1.5 - 2.6 pick rating
Aston Villa 0.0 - 2.4 pick rating
Burnley FC +0.5 - 2.8 pick rating

Sunday
West Ham 0.0 - 2.3 pick rating

Pick rating = percentage of your bankroll to bet
by ShaunNegativeTurner
13 Aug 2021 20:05
Forum: General Football
Topic: FPL Thread 21/22
Replies: 12
Views: 2768

Re: FPL Thread 21/22

Hendo
ShaunNegativeTurner might be in for this...do you have a link?


Click on the link 2 posts above yours...


thanks
by ShaunNegativeTurner
13 Aug 2021 15:23
Forum: General Football
Topic: FPL Thread 21/22
Replies: 12
Views: 2768

Re: FPL Thread 21/22

might be in for this...do you have a link?
by ShaunNegativeTurner
12 Aug 2021 23:40
Forum: General Football
Topic: THE BETTING THREAD
Replies: 7800
Views: 1025612

Re: THE BETTING THREAD

Arsenal (0.0) - 2.4 pick rating - 53.1% - 54.2% Chelsea (-1.5) - 2.6 pick rating - 78.9% - 79.5% Liverpool (-1.5) - 2.6 pick rating - 75.2% - 75.9% Aston Villa (0.0) - 2.4 pick rating - 42.2% - 43.6% Burnley FC (+0.5) - 2.8 pick rating - (draw 32.1% - 33.0%), (win 31.4%, 32.4%) West Ham (0.0) - 2.3 ...
It is currently 20 Jul 2025 07:08