by Woodcote Royal »
20 Mar 2011 14:33
Arch moo Arch The probabilities are still a bit against, but at least it's more marginal now. At the time of the poll I thought we'd get around 68, but nowI fancy us to get 73-74. Fascinating times for a Reading fan (as usual).
Why are the probabilities against us? It's in our own hands thanks to our goal difference, we are only going to get stronger as players return and we have the easiest run of fixtures on paper.
The teams in the top six have the points. They have better ppg and would be marginally expected to stay ahead. There's not much in it, but it's hard to justify the view that we're more likely to get into the playoffs than Forest or Leeds.
But surely when you put together the facts that, our game in hand is at home to the bottom club, we have a superior goal difference to all (I think) of our rivals and a rather easy run-in, any predictors of the top six come the end of the season would now include us.
Yesterday's results were hugely significant and even though we could still implode, it's the clubs who are improving (and we are doing so with a squad currently down to the bare bones but with all absentees expected back well before the end of the campaign) who will be most fancied to push on.
All neutrals will have us pencilled in for a place in the play offs and many will fancy us to finish higher than 6th.